Comparison of Physical Gold vs Gold ETFs for investment returns over 5, 10, and 15 years

Physical Gold vs Gold ETFs: A Comprehensive Comparison of 5, 10, and 15-Year Returns

Investing in gold has always been a popular choice for wealth preservation. However, with the evolution of financial markets, investors now have various options, including Physical Gold, Gold ETFs, and more. So, which one is better? Let’s compare their 5, 10, and 15-year returns and analyze their pros and cons.


Gold Investment Options: A Quick Overview

Investment TypeDescription
Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGBs)Issued by the Reserve Bank of India, these bonds offer a fixed interest of 2.5% p.a. and have a minimum investment of 1 gram.
Gold ETFsExchange-traded funds linked to the price of gold, offering liquidity and ease of trading.
Gold FundsMutual funds that invest in gold assets. They allow SIP investments and offer exposure to gold without owning physical gold.
Digital GoldA form of electronic gold where investors own a share of gold stored in vaults.
Physical GoldTangible gold in the form of jewelry, coins, or bars. Offers direct ownership but comes with storage and security concerns.

Returns Comparison: Physical Gold vs. Gold ETFs

Both Physical Gold and Gold ETFs have their advantages. Let’s look at their performance over different time periods:

Physical Gold Returns

Time PeriodGold Price (Per 10 Grams)CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate)
5 Years₹31,500 (Dec 24, 2019) to ₹78,500 (Dec 24, 2024)20%
10 Years₹25,570 (Dec 24, 2014) to ₹78,500 (Dec 24, 2024)12%
15 Years₹16,500 (Dec 24, 2009) to ₹78,500 (Dec 24, 2024)11%

Analysis:

  • Over the last 5 years, Physical Gold has delivered a CAGR of 20%, outperforming other gold investments.
  • Over 10 and 15 years, gold has provided consistent returns, with a 12% CAGR in 10 years and 11% CAGR in 15 years.

Gold ETFs Returns

ETF Name5-Year Returns10-Year Returns15-Year Returns
LIC MF Gold ETF14.07%10.28%9.62%
SBI Gold ETF13.8%10.02%9.54%
Axis Gold Fund13.95%9.8%N/A
Invesco India Gold ETF14%10.14%N/A

Analysis:

  • 5-year returns: Gold ETFs, like LIC MF Gold ETF and SBI Gold ETF, have provided returns ranging between 13.8% and 14.07%.
  • 10-year returns: Over the last decade, Gold ETFs have given a 10% CAGR, slightly behind Physical Gold’s performance.
  • 15-year returns: With the oldest funds showing a return range of 9.54% to 9.62%, Gold ETFs have consistently provided solid returns, but still lagging behind Physical Gold.

Key Benefits: Physical Gold vs. Gold ETFs

FactorPhysical GoldGold ETFs
LiquidityCan be hard to sell quicklyHighly liquid, can be traded instantly on exchanges
TransparencyLimited price transparencyOffers real-time pricing based on gold market
Cost-EffectivenessStorage and insurance costsLower transaction fees, no storage costs
ConvenienceRequires physical handlingEasily traded through stockbrokers or online platforms
ReturnsHistorically higher returns over long termLower returns but offers steady growth

Expert Opinion on Gold ETFs

Chethan Shenoy, Director & Head – Product & Research, Anand Rathi Wealth Limited, suggests that while SGBs were the best gold investment in recent years, Gold ETFs are now the next best option, especially in 2025. With Gold ETFs offering direct exposure to gold bullion of 99.5% purity, they provide an efficient and flexible way to invest in gold without the hassle of storing physical gold.


Summing Up: Which is Better?

Investment TypeReturn (CAGR)ProsCons
Physical Gold5 years: 20% 10 years: 12% 15 years: 11%Higher returns in the long run, tangible assetStorage, security, and insurance costs
Gold ETFs5 years: 13.8%–14.07% 10 years: 10% 15 years: 9.54%–9.62%Liquidity, transparency, cost-effectiveLower long-term returns compared to physical gold

Conclusion:

  • Physical gold has outperformed Gold ETFs in terms of long-term returns, especially over the last 5 years.
  • Gold ETFs, while offering slightly lower returns, excel in liquidity, transparency, and cost-effectiveness, making them ideal for investors seeking convenience and flexibility.

Which Gold Investment Should You Choose?

Your choice between Physical Gold and Gold ETFs depends on your investment goals and preferences. If you seek higher returns over the long term and don’t mind the storage concerns, Physical Gold may be the right choice. However, if you prioritize liquidity and ease of trading, Gold ETFs are a great option to consider.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Back To Top